Purpose–The purpose of this thesis is to develop a conceptual model that connects factors affecting students’ enrollment in Higher Education Institutions and evaluates the extent to which these factors are influencing institutions’ Value at Risk (VaR). Design/methodology/approach–Structural PCA modeling was employed in this study to examine the association of institutions’ admissions and different influence parameters, and to derive corresponding VaR as a measure of financial risks. Questionnaires were also completed by Grade Ten students of eight different high schools, prior and post orientation ...