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Browsing FACULTY OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION & ECONOMICS by Subject "Petroleum"

Browsing FACULTY OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION & ECONOMICS by Subject "Petroleum"

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  • Correlation between crude oil and gold 
    Saadeh, Christel (Notre Dame University-Louaize, 2013)
    Oil and gold are considered to be the most two strategic commodities. Crude oil is the world’s most frequently transacted commodity while gold has a leading position among the main precious metals. This thesis examines empirically the relationship between gold prices, oil prices and US dollar index. Monthly data for gold prices, oil prices, US dollar index and other controlled variables over a period of 20 years were selected from Bloomberg platform. This thesis uses a unit root test and the Johansen test to check for the existence of cointegration between each pair of selected variables. Further ...
  • The impact of terrorism on crude oil returns and volatility : a case study in the Middle East and Africa 
    Bteich, Marion (Notre Dame University-Louaize, 2015)
    Purpose: this study explores the impact of terrorism on daily Brent crude oil returns and volatility. From mid-1987 till end of 2013, we examine how successful terrorist attacks with high and low intensity and carried out in the most oil-dependent Middle Eastern and African countries affect Brent dynamics. We also investigate the degree to which attacks against oil businesses and facilities play a role in altering Brent returns and affecting their fluctuations. Design/methodology/approach: we gathered from the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) all the daily terrorist attacks performed against ...
  • Modeling the crude oil volatility : Garch & EVT 
    Azar, Milad Fouad (Notre Dame University-Louaize, 2018-04)
    Purpose: This study has two main purposes. First, Assess and compare the predictive ability of the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average EWMA, the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity EGARCH (1, 1), the Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity EGARCH (1, 1), and the Glosten, Jagannathan, and Runkle Generalized Autoregressive Conditional heteroscedasticity GJR-GARCH. Second, Value at Risk is calculated using the Historical Simulation approach and the Extreme Value Theory. Methodology, Design and Approach: The models’ parameters are estimated from ...
  • Volatility spillover effects among gold, crude oil and US dollar index: an analysis using EGARCH Model 
    Abi Loutfi, Joelle (Notre Dame University-Louaize, 2019-05)
    Purpose: The purpose of this study is to empirically test the level of interdependence between three major assets: Gold, crude oil and USD index in terms of the return volatility spillover effects. This helps investors managing their portfolios and provides them with sense of direction on how to use these assets in portfolio diversification leading to a risk reduction benefits. Design/methodology/approach: Gold, oil and USD index volatilities are estimated using EGARCH (1, 1) model after detecting the stationarity and heteroskedasticity of the sample using the following diagnostic tests: Augmented ...

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