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Browsing Theses and Dissertations by Author "Naimy, Viviane, Ph.D."

Browsing Theses and Dissertations by Author "Naimy, Viviane, Ph.D."

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  • Maalouf, Nisrine Elias (Notre Dame University-Louaize., 2019)
    Purpose: The purpose of this study is to explore the ability of EWMA, GARCH (1,1) and EGARCH (1,1) to forecast volatilities of S&P500, SSEC and MICEX, reference to two time periods in the timeframe of the Syrian war. VaR is derived using the HS approach which incorporates in its calculation the volatility of the best chosen model. The added value is the application of EVT in order to determine VaR results, which are compared and analyzed to the results of the HS approach, to define the most accurate approach. Methodology of Work: Returns of the in-sample period prices are used in estimating ...
  • Nseir, Albert (Notre Dame University-Louaize, 2022-07)
    Purpose: The purpose of this thesis is to investigate the variables affecting house prices in Lebanon in the long run and the short run. Design/ Methodology/ Approach: To answer the above question, data collected is a monthly one covering second half of the year 2013 until February 2021. The dependent variable is average housing price, while independent variables include employment index, construction permits, non-resident deposits, interest rate, CPI, and coincident indicators. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model is applied for the long run and the error correction model (ECM) is ...
  • Nercessian, Jennifer (2022)
    Purpose: The purpose of this thesis is to find the best restructuring scenario for Lebanon through simulating what if analysis for local and external debts by taking an assumption of haircut percentages. These scenarios are taken at different estimates of the exchange rates. Additionally, this thesis will put in place reforms and recommendations aiming at promoting the neutralized sectors hoping to resolve the falling economy. Design/methodology/approach: To reach our purpose, we designed a unique regression model for USD/LBP exchange rate estimates since the official, pegged rate of 1,507.5 ...
  • Souk, Jana Toufic (Notre Dame University-Louaize, 2021)
    Purpose – The term Brexit, the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the European Union, is linked with the uncertainty raised due to the ambiguity of the economic relationship to be adopted between the U.K and the EU. This uncertainty is translated directly into a significant fluctuation of the British pound. Therefore, this research highlights the impact of the Brexit referendum on the British pound against the Euro, test the relationship between exchange rate volatility and U.K’s exports to Eurozone countries (Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, ...
  • Abi Farraj, Nermeen (Notre Dame University-Louaize, 2021)
    Purpose – The purpose of this thesis is to assess if natural disasters impact the volatility of 19 property-liability insurers in the United States of America (USA) and 3 stock indices over a 10-year period using GARCH (1,1), IGARCH (1,1), EGARCH (1,1) and GJR-GARCH (1,1). Additionally, we implement the Value at Risk (VaR) and Extreme Value Theory (EVT) method to generate the worst loss over a target horizon that will not be exceeded with a given level of confidence. In this regard, this thesis will be a pioneer in examining the performance of capital markets in a context of unusually high ...
  • Bou Abdo, Celine (Notre Dame University-Louaize, 2017)
    Purpose: The objective of this thesis is to estimate and compare the capital requirements of an SME portfolio belonging to a Lebanese Commercial Bank under different regulatory frameworks, Basel I, Basel II and Basel III, in addition to illustrating the calculation of the capital adequacy ratio to comply with the requirements of BDL and BCCL. Design/methodology/approach: The sample used consists of a portfolio of loans granted by a Lebanese commercial bank to 1,099 different clients as of June 30, 2017. The study aims first at demonstrating the several approaches (Standardized Approach, IRB ...
  • Azar, Milad Fouad (Notre Dame University-Louaize, 2018-04)
    Purpose: This study has two main purposes. First, Assess and compare the predictive ability of the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average EWMA, the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity EGARCH (1, 1), the Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity EGARCH (1, 1), and the Glosten, Jagannathan, and Runkle Generalized Autoregressive Conditional heteroscedasticity GJR-GARCH. Second, Value at Risk is calculated using the Historical Simulation approach and the Extreme Value Theory. Methodology, Design and Approach: The models’ parameters are estimated from ...
  • Haddad, Omar (Notre Dame University-Louaize, 2020-05)
    Purpose: The purpose of this thesis is to investigate and assess the predictive ability of the GARCH (1,1), IGARCH (1,1), EGARCH (1,1), GJR-GARCH (1,1), APARCH (1,1), TGARCH (1,1) and CGARCH (1,1) models in forecasting the volatilities of six major cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ripple, Litecoin, Monero, Dash, Dogecoin and six world currencies: Euro, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, Australian Dollar, Swiss Franc and the Japanese Yen. The optimal volatility model selected for each virtual and hard currency is then integrated into the Volatility Update Historical Simulation approach to evaluate the ...
  • Abi Abboud, Joanna Michel (Notre Dame University-Louaize, 2018)
    Purpose - The purpose of this study is to capture the relationship between credit risk of European commercial banks and their profitability, taking into consideration regulatory requirements under several stressed scenarios. Design/Methodology/Approach - The sample of this study consists of 12 out of 15 largest commercial banks in Europe as measured by their total assets in 2017. This study uses hypothesis testing and stress testing approaches to capture the relationship between credit risk of banks and their profitability and to determine the sufficiency of bank capital adequacy. Findings ...
  • Mghames, Hanady S. (Notre Dame University-Louaize, 2019)
    Purpose–The purpose of this thesis is to develop a conceptual model that connects factors affecting students’ enrollment in Higher Education Institutions and evaluates the extent to which these factors are influencing institutions’ Value at Risk (VaR). Design/methodology/approach–Structural PCA modeling was employed in this study to examine the association of institutions’ admissions and different influence parameters, and to derive corresponding VaR as a measure of financial risks. Questionnaires were also completed by Grade Ten students of eight different high schools, prior and post orientation ...
  • El Chidiac, Johnny (Notre Dame University-Louaize, 2019)
    Purpose: The purpose of this thesis is to investigate the ability of EWMA, GARCH (1, 1), GARCH (p, q) and EGARCH (1, 1) to forecast volatilities of Bitcoin, Ripple, EURUSD, GBPUSD and CNYUSD. The optimal volatility model for each fiat and virtual currency is used to measure the accuracy of VaR by incorporating the volatility update into the Historical Simulation approach. Design/Methodology/Approach: In-sample returns are calculated from daily closing prices and are used in estimating the parameters of the selected models. The calculated in-sample parameters are applied to estimate and forecast ...

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